Holy Cross (MA) 
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 90.2679
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
131 H Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 10-15
206 A Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 89.2) 9- 8
211 A Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 14- 8
214 H Sacred Heart MAAC (11- 4, 90.9) 11-15
221 H Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 12- 5
228 A Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 5-13
307 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 11-10
314 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 11- 9
321 A Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 5-13
328 H Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 8-10
404 A Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 13-20
411 A Fairfield CAA ( 4-10, 90.3) 13-12
418 A Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 13-15
424 H Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 12-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 H Providence 10-15 -5 -1 -- -4.11
206 A Hofstra 9- 8 1 0 1.33
211 A Merrimack 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.58
214 H Sacred Heart 11-15 -4 1 -- -4.76
221 H Le Moyne 12- 5 7 6 0.53
228 A Army West Point 5-13 -8 -9 0.00
307 H Colgate 11-10 1 -1 + 2.35
314 H Lafayette 11- 9 2 1 0.96
321 A Lehigh 5-13 -8 -6 -1.16
328 H Loyola 8-10 -2 -3 0.68
404 A Navy 13-20 -7 -5 -1.91
411 A Fairfield 13-12 1 -1 + 2.44
418 A Bucknell 13-15 -2 -3 1.02
424 H Boston University 12-18 -6 -3 - -2.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 H Providence 10-15 -5 -1 -- -4.11
214 H Sacred Heart 11-15 -4 1 -- -4.76
424 H Boston University 12-18 -6 -3 - -2.96
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A Merrimack 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.58
307 H Colgate 11-10 1 -1 + 2.35
411 A Fairfield 13-12 1 -1 + 2.44
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 10-15 -7.36 13.24 -1.38 1.02 -4.47
3 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 89.2) 9- 8 -10.67 9.92 1.38 1.02 23.10
3 A Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 14- 8 -11.43 9.17 1.38 1.02 21.55
3 H Sacred Heart (11- 4, 90.9) 11-15 -9.02 11.58 -1.38 1.02 -5.31
3 H Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 12- 5 -14.73 5.87 -1.38 1.02 9.18
3 A Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 5-13 -1.86 18.74 1.38 1.02 -0.25
3 H Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 11-10 -6.90 13.70 -1.38 1.02 25.19
3 H Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 11- 9 -9.29 11.30 -1.38 1.02 20.30
3 A Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 5-13 -5.16 15.43 1.38 1.02 -1.94
3 H Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 8-10 -5.58 15.02 -1.38 1.02 -3.56
3 A Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 13-20 -5.91 14.69 1.38 1.02 -2.32
3 A Fairfield ( 4-10, 90.3) 13-12 -9.56 11.04 1.38 1.02 25.37
3 A Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 13-15 -7.99 12.61 1.38 1.02 -3.38
3 H Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 12-18 -5.22 15.38 -1.38 1.02 -3.37
------
100.11
|
winning pts = 124.7028 losing points = -24.5894
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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